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Commonmark migration
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Community Bot
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#BayesBot

BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.2 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1

#BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.2 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1

BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.2 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1
edited body
Source Link
user1502040
user1502040
  • 3.9k
  • 14
  • 23

#BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.12 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1

#BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.1 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1

#BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.2 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1
Slightly improved prior.
Source Link
user1502040
user1502040
  • 3.9k
  • 14
  • 23

#BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.1]1 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1

#BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.1] * 10 for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1

#BayesBot

Tries to make the optimal choice using a simple statistical model.

import random

def dirichlet(counts):
    counts = [random.gammavariate(n, 1) for n in counts]
    k = 1. / sum(counts)
    return [n * k for n in counts]

class BayesBot(object):
    def __init__(self, index):
        self.index = index
        self.counts = [[0.1 * (10 - i) for i in range(10)] for _ in range(10)]
    def select(self):
        player_distributions = []
        for i, counts in enumerate(self.counts):
            if i == self.index:
                continue
            player_distributions.append(dirichlet(counts))
        cumulative_unique = 0.
        scores = [0.] * 10
        for i in range(10):
            p_unpicked = 1.
            for d in player_distributions:
                p_unpicked *= (1. - d[i])
            p_unique = p_unpicked * sum(d[i] / (1. - d[i]) for d in player_distributions)
            scores[i] = p_unpicked * (1. - cumulative_unique)
            cumulative_unique += p_unique * (1. - cumulative_unique)
        return scores.index(max(scores)) + 1
    def update(self, choices):
        for i, n in enumerate(choices):
            self.counts[i][n - 1] += 1
deleted 24 characters in body
Source Link
user1502040
user1502040
  • 3.9k
  • 14
  • 23
Restore syntax highlighting
Source Link
edit approved Sep 15, 2018 at 10:49
rchard2scout
edit approved Sep 15, 2018 at 10:49
rchard2scout
  • 103
  • 3
improved model
Source Link
user1502040
user1502040
  • 3.9k
  • 14
  • 23
Improved statistical model to compute corrected objective function
Source Link
user1502040
user1502040
  • 3.9k
  • 14
  • 23
Add syntax highlighting
Source Link
user48543
user48543
remove unused field
Source Link
user1502040
user1502040
  • 3.9k
  • 14
  • 23
Source Link
user1502040
user1502040
  • 3.9k
  • 14
  • 23